Sunday, November 06, 2016
Candidates from Hell, Part 3: Donald Trump
I also predicted that Donald Trump might beat Hillary Clinton, and but that his lack of principle, his impulsiveness, and his non-transparency make him very hard to predict.* I still don't buy the argument that he's secretly a Democrat operator, although even at this late date it's still conceivable. I do buy the argument that originally he never expected to win the nomination, and was both uncertain he wanted it and ill-prepared for it (the latter is obvious).
Certainly Trump is the GOP's candidate from Hell. Hilliary Clinton has proved a far worse candidate than expected. She's still under felony investigation, as is the Clinton Foundation, and it is clear to anyone actually following the emails and the investigations that she's guilty, despite FBI Director Comey's repeated statements that there are o grounds for charges. His latest statement, given today, is irrelevant, because the matter is out of his hands. But that's grist for another post; read these from Daily Caller, American Thinker, and National Review Online if you're interested in what's going on.
Trump ought to be up 20 points given all this. Instead, he's claiming he'll have a last ditch squeaker come-from-behind victory. I don't expect this, because he's been a candidate from hell:
- He has run an incompetent, even non-existent ground game.
- He has spent as much time fighting the GOP as he has Clinton.
- He repeatedly has said insane things, e.g. families of terrorists should be executed, Ted Cruz' father killed John F. Kennedy, Mexico will pay the U.S. to build a wall, etc.
- His behavior is abominable, e.g. his ridiculous tweet war over some idiotic beauty queen whom he once called fat, his embarrassing boasting during a presidential debate about his genitals, his claims to have molested women on the "Access Hollywood" video.
- His basic ignorance of economics, of the Constitution, of political principles.
*On 30 December 2015 I presciently wrote, "What about Trump? Trump never relies on anything like principles and it is hard to know what he would do. I’m rejecting the “Trump is a Democrat operative” hypothesis and take him at face value. He says what he thinks – which varies considerably at times because he doesn’t have a particular ideology or set of principles – and he wants to be president. A Clinton vs. Trump debate would be a real show. Trump would be quite willing to call her a liar (this should be done). He regularly uses ad hominem arguments and is ruthlessly politically incorrect – something for which he deserves great praise. I can’t predict such a cage match and popularity contest, other than to say that the debates and election would be a free-for-all. The United States would become a reality TV program. Trump might well win the debates, and the election, but it is not easy to say."